Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#333
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#334
Pace69.8#117
Improvement-0.8#208

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#322
Improvement-1.3#222

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#320
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 52   @ Middle Tennessee L 53-97 1%     0 - 1 -30.9 -15.9 -11.4
  Nov 11, 2012 2   @ Florida L 35-84 0.3%    0 - 2 -25.5 -26.4 +1.6
  Nov 13, 2012 134   @ Central Florida L 56-85 5%     0 - 3 -23.5 -17.8 -4.4
  Nov 16, 2012 221   Savannah St. L 54-59 25%     0 - 4 -11.6 -8.1 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2012 272   @ Troy L 62-66 17%     0 - 5 -7.5 -6.4 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2012 290   @ Chicago St. L 54-67 20%     0 - 6 -18.0 -19.4 +1.9
  Dec 10, 2012 69   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-81 2%     0 - 7 -2.5 -8.2 +6.5
  Dec 13, 2012 272   Troy W 74-68 35%     1 - 7 -3.9 -3.5 -0.4
  Dec 15, 2012 79   @ Evansville L 67-80 3%     1 - 8 -3.7 -1.6 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2012 102   @ Georgia Tech L 41-75 3%     1 - 9 -26.2 -25.8 +0.8
  Dec 19, 2012 218   Pepperdine L 58-66 16%     1 - 10 -11.2 -14.3 +3.0
  Dec 20, 2012 316   UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-76 OT 36%     1 - 11 -16.2 -6.4 -9.8
  Jan 02, 2013 319   Jackson St. W 70-66 51%     2 - 11 1 - 0 -10.0 -19.0 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2013 347   Grambling St. W 69-56 96%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -22.1 -16.6 -5.0
  Jan 06, 2013 281   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 58-73 18%     3 - 12 2 - 1 -19.1 -16.9 -1.5
  Jan 08, 2013 342   @ Mississippi Valley W 69-65 44%     4 - 12 3 - 1 -8.2 -6.6 -1.5
  Jan 12, 2013 339   @ Alabama A&M L 57-64 41%     4 - 13 3 - 2 -18.6 -15.5 -3.6
  Jan 19, 2013 190   Southern L 67-79 19%     4 - 14 3 - 3 -16.4 -5.7 -10.7
  Jan 21, 2013 330   Alcorn St. W 49-46 58%     5 - 14 4 - 3 -12.9 -24.7 +12.0
  Jan 26, 2013 325   @ Prairie View L 72-74 31%     5 - 15 4 - 4 -10.7 -5.9 -4.6
  Jan 28, 2013 170   @ Texas Southern L 65-97 7%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -29.0 -6.8 -22.5
  Feb 02, 2013 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-81 38%     5 - 17 4 - 6 -14.6 +1.4 -16.0
  Feb 04, 2013 342   Mississippi Valley W 73-65 68%     6 - 17 5 - 6 -10.6 -4.4 -5.8
  Feb 09, 2013 339   Alabama A&M W 69-62 66%     7 - 17 6 - 6 -11.0 -7.3 -3.3
  Feb 16, 2013 190   @ Southern L 49-58 8%     7 - 18 6 - 7 -7.0 -17.5 +10.1
  Feb 18, 2013 330   @ Alcorn St. W 66-58 33%     8 - 18 7 - 7 -1.4 +2.9 -3.2
  Feb 23, 2013 325   Prairie View L 56-65 55%     8 - 19 7 - 8 -24.2 -17.3 -7.3
  Feb 25, 2013 170   Texas Southern L 50-70 17%     8 - 20 7 - 9 -23.5 -23.5 -0.8
  Feb 28, 2013 319   @ Jackson St. L 65-70 OT 27%     8 - 21 7 - 10 -12.5 -10.8 -1.8
  Mar 02, 2013 347   @ Grambling St. W 74-62 91%     9 - 21 8 - 10 -16.6 -8.6 -7.6
  Mar 14, 2013 319   Jackson St. L 59-66 38%     9 - 22 -17.7 -13.7 -4.7
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%